Match Info

Date: 3 March 2020, Tuesday


	Independiente Medellín		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4	Watch
	1.91	3.25	4.2
	1.92	3.25	4.1	Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.09
	1.95	3.25	4.2
	1.91	3.25	4.33
	1.92	3.34	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.99)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	4.16 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
48.9%

Draw
28.6%

Libertad Asuncion
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

27.3%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

17.8%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Libertad Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente Medellín - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
29.02.20	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.02.20	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Medellín	1:1 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
22.02.20	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.20	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
15.02.20	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWLWL
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.02.20	Guaireña - Libertad Asuncion	3:2 ✺
21.02.20	Libertad Asuncion - Sol de América	2:1 ✺
14.02.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
07.02.20	Libertad Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
02.02.20	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Copa
14.10.26	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	✺
Colombian Primera A
11.10.26	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	✺
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.10.26	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	✺

Independiente Medellín - Libertad Asuncion: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide