Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Schalke 04		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.52	4.2	6.25
	1.5	4.2	6.25
	1.49	4.4	5.8
	1.51	4.46	6.84
	1.47	4	6.5
	1.52	4.5	5.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)	4.3 ↑ (4.08)	6.29 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
63%

Draw
22%

Ingolstadt
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

23%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

19.1%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Schalke 04, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Schalke 04 - Ingolstadt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Schalke has the most likely position - 1 (20.6%), has project points - 58, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (40%), has a chance of win league (21%).

Ingolstadt has the most likely position - 18 (28.89%), has project points - 32, has currently - 4, has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Schalke is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ingolstadt is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ingolstadt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Schalke is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Schalke won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
25.09.21	Hansa Rostock - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
17.09.21	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	1:2 ✺
12.09.21	Paderborn - Schalke 04	0:1 ✺
28.08.21	Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:1 ✺
21.08.21	Jahn Regensburg - Schalke 04	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 2 Bundesliga
25.09.21	Ingolstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
19.09.21	St. Pauli - Ingolstadt	4:1 ✺
11.09.21	Ingolstadt - Werder Bremen	0:3 ✺
27.08.21	Sandhausen - Ingolstadt	0:2 ✺
22.08.21	Ingolstadt - Nürnberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
20.05.17	Ingolstadt - Schalke 04	1:1
21.01.17	Schalke 04 - Ingolstadt	1:0
02.04.16	Ingolstadt - Schalke 04	3:0
31.10.15	Schalke 04 - Ingolstadt	1:1

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