Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 11

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday

Location: De Herdgang (Eindhoven)

Referee: Smit S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 3


	Jong PSV		Dordrecht

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	3.10	Watch
	2.00	3.70	3.00
	1.98	3.80	3.00	Watch
	2.14	4.05	3.13
	2.22	3.83	2.85	Watch
	2.07	4.00	3.00
	2.09	3.74	3.09	Watch
	2.05	3.65	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.07)	3.82 ↓ (3.89)	3.02 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong PSV
44.8%

Draw
24.4%

Dordrecht
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

23.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

22.7%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Jong PSV - Dordrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 45% – 100%.

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - PSV Reserves (2.20) (votes: 80%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ngom K. (G) 2. Penso K. 3. Merien F. (C) 4. Monamay M. 5. Manuhutu R. 6. Mulders B. 8. Sidibe S. 7. Ouaissa S. 10. Holseter-Karlsen P. 11. Kluit F. 9. Jones A.	28. Coremans T. (G) 22. van Aken J. 4. Pinas J. (C) 3. Henderikx S. 5. Mpanzu B. 8. Vugts S. 6. Riccio L. 18. van Asten R. 21. Vetkal M. 11. Rossi N. 9. de Bie J.
Substitutes
16. Aerts K. (G) 17. Beerens J. 14. Bresser M. 18. Buyens M. 19. Dumbili S. 15. Oldenstam L.	14. Bae S. 29. Felicia N. 51. Gardenier L. 44. Hardley B. 13. Hogervorst D. (G) 2. Lechkar A. 15. M'Bemba Y. 1. Oldenstam F. (G) 16. Roman L. 23. Woudenberg L. 17. Younous Y.
Coaches
Schaars S.	Nuijten P.

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 13th and 19th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 1.

Jong PSV has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Dordrecht is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Jong PSV is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Jong PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Dordrecht: Ouarghi A. (Yellow Cards).

Doubtful / questionable for Dordrecht: Artic T. (Injury) Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) Raatsie C. (Hand Injury) Venema N. (Groin Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Jong PSV has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:30 (averaging 1.6:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jong PSV against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 13:13 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Jong PSV	10	3	4	3	15:17	-2	13
19	Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13:27	-14	8

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Dordrecht: 0.41% Jong PSV: 0.22%

Last Results with these Odds

Dordrecht - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.12%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.10.26	Roda - Jong PSV	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Vitesse - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
14.09.26	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
07.09.26	Jong PSV - Den Bosch	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTLW
- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.10.26	Dordrecht - Emmen	0:3 ✺
03.10.26	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Dordrecht - Almere City	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	FC Oss - Dordrecht	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.02.26	Jong PSV - Dordrecht	1:1
23.08.25	Dordrecht - Jong PSV	1:2
24.02.25	Jong PSV - Dordrecht	1:2
04.10.24	Dordrecht - Jong PSV	2:0
26.02.24	Jong PSV - Dordrecht	0:1
10.11.23	Dordrecht - Jong PSV	1:4
07.04.23	Dordrecht - Jong PSV	1:0

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