Match Info

Serie B - Round 25

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Sampdoria		Padova

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.35	5.15	Watch
	1.73	3.47	6.02
	1.7	3.38	5.54	Watch
	1.67	3.4	5
	1.71	3.33	5.95	Watch
	1.71	3.25	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	5.56 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
55.2%

Draw
28%

Padova
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27.2%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Padova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	19%	9.5%

Sampdoria - Padova Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Padova will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sampdoria will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Martinelli T. (G) 17. Hadzikadunic D. 28. Abildgaard O. 2. Viti M. 29. Di Pardo A. 8. Ricci M. 16. Henderson L. (C) 7. Cicconi M. 11. Begic T. 77. Pierini N. 99. Brunori M.	22. Sorrentino A. (G) 4. Belli F. 55. Villa L. 32. Sgarbi F. 3. Barreca A. 7. Varas K. (C) 20. Bortolussi M. 44. Harder J. 17. Capelli A. 23. Di Maggio L. 15. Lasagna K.
Substitutes
72. Barak A. 10. Cherubini L. 9. Coda M. 33. Conti F. 38. Diop K. 25. Ferrari A. 1. Ghidotti S. (G) 21. Giordano S. 20. Pafundi S. 5. Riccio A. 92. Soleri E. 31. Vulikic S.	92. Buonaiuto C. 24. Caprari G. 6. Crisetig L. 77. Di Mariano F. 72. Faedo C. 14. Fortin M. (G) 8. Fusi P. 86. Giunti G. 58. Pastina C. 5. Perrotta M. 11. Seghetti A. 41. Silva J.
Coaches
Gregucci A.	Andreoletti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Villa L. 🟨,
22', Ricci M. 🟨,
25', Henderson L. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Brunori M. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Pierini N. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Barreca A. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
54', Seghetti A. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
54', Villa L. ↓, Pastina C. ↑,
64', Ricci M. ↓, Conti F. ↑,
70', Di Maggio L. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
76', Belli F. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
79', Brunori M. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
79', Begic T. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 11).

Sampdoria is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Padova has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sampdoria is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Depaoli F. (Inactive) Esposito Sa. (Inactive) Ferri J. (Inactive) Giordano S. (Inactive) Venuti L. (Injury)

There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Injury) Papu Gomez (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sampdoria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Padova	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7
17	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
10.02.26	Sampdoria - Palermo	3:3 ✺
07.02.26	Modena - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Sampdoria - Spezia	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Catanzaro - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Sampdoria - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWTT
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
10.02.26	Padova - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Juve Stabia - Padova	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Padova - Monza	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Padova	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Padova - Mantova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
20.12.25	Padova - Sampdoria	1:1
Club Friendly
25.07.18	Sampdoria - Padova	1:0

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