Match Info

Coppa Titano - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: San Marino Stadium (Serravalle)


	Juvenes-Dogana		Tre Penne

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.65	1.68
	4.82	3.59	1.57
	4.34	3.28	1.81	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.8
	5.43	3.68	1.55
	5	3.75	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (3.72)	3.59 ↑ (3.53)	1.66 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juvenes-Dogana
19.9%

Draw
25.3%

Tre Penne
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

25.6%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

25.2%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juvenes-Dogana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juvenes-Dogana than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Juvenes Dogana - Tre Penne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Sartini N. ⚽, Lisi N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juvenes-Dogana won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Tre Penne is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Juvenes-Dogana won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 1.3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Juvenes-Dogana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.1:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juvenes-Dogana
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
06.12.25	Juvenes-Dogana - AC Libertas	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Juvenes-Dogana	0:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
26.11.25	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	1:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.11.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Faetano	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Virtus	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTWL
- Tre Penne
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
06.12.25	Virtus - Tre Penne	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Folgore - Tre Penne	1:3 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
26.11.25	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	1:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.11.25	Tre Penne - Murata	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Tre Penne - Domagnano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Coppa Titano
26.11.25	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	1:1
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.11.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Penne	1:1
26.04.25	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	4:2
11.01.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Penne	1:2
01.05.24	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Penne	4:2
28.04.24	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	3:0
20.01.24	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	2:3

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