The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juventude 45.2%
Draw 32.7%
Cuiabá 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.1%
30.6%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
28.9%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.9%
26.1%
0%
Juventude - Cuiabá Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 56% – 91.8%.
93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 2. Rai Ramos 5. Luan Martins 75. Rai Silva 30. Patryck 11. Fabio Lima 10. MP 25. Alisson Safira
31. Marcelo Carne (G) 13. Joao Basso 4. Vitor Mendes 33. Alan Empereur (C) 37. Raylan 30. Raul 5. Calebe Costa 6. Marlon 77. Jean Dias 41. Kauan Cristtyan 8. Pepe
Substitutes
9. Alan Kardec 20. Allanzinho 17. Castro M. 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 72. Lucas Alves 26. Ly I. 22. Nathan Santos 7. Pablo Roberto 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 27. Ray Breno 3. Titi 6. Wadson
20. David Miguel 14. Eric Melo 1. Joao Carlos (G) 36. Lorenzo 91. Luis Soares 97. Luiz Otavio 23. Marcos Junior 96. Pedro H. 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 29. Vinicius Peixoto
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri
Barros E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Alisson Safira ⚽, Rai Silva (A),
41', Marlon 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marlon ↓, Eric Melo ↑,
46', Vitor Mendes ↓, Pedro H. ↑,
46', Calebe Costa ↓, David Miguel ↑,
65', Alisson Safira ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Rai Silva ⚽, Luan Martins (A),
72', Kauan Cristtyan ↓, Marcos Junior ↑,
74', MP ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
74', Patryck ↓, Wadson ↑,
80', Jandrei 🟨,
81', Jean Dias ↓, Vinicius Peixoto ↑,
82', Fabio Lima ↓, Ly I. ↑,
82', Luan Martins ↓, Gabriel Pinheiro ↑,
84', Wadson 🟨,
86', David Miguel 🟨,
86', Pepe 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 0.
Juventude is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Cuiabá's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cuiabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Juventude could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Juventude: Aderlan
(Inactive)
Diogo Barbosa
(Injury)
Lucas Mineiro
(Yellow Cards)
Mandaca
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Cuiabá: Eliel
(Hand Injury)
There are questionable in Juventude: Alan Ruschel
(Muscle Injury)
Nathan Santos
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Cuiabá: Asad Y.
(Inactive)
Hernades
(Muscle Injury)
Joao Araujo
(Inactive)
Mateus Santos
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now
Cuiaba: 0.3%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Juventude
32
17
8
7
37:19
18
59
10
Cuiaba
32
11
14
7
32:25
7
47
Last Results with these Odds
Juventude - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.14%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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