Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, RedeTV!, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Köln		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.1	3.3	Watch
	1.73	4.1	4.2
	1.95	4.15	3.35	Watch
	2.02	4.2	3.46
	2.02	4.03	3.27	Watch
	1.91	3.8	3.3
	2	4.16	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.7)	4.08 ↓ (4.11)	3.5 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Köln
49.3%

Draw
23.4%

Heidenheim
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

22.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

26.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Köln's form might have worsened.

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heidenheim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Köln, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heidenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	22.5%	42.5%

Köln - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 14 - 35%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 17 - 42.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 22.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 27.2% – 57.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Heidenheim (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Heidenheim will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Heidenheim (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (C) 28. Sebulonsen S. 2. Schmied J. 39. Ozkacar C. 32. Lund K. 5. Krauss T. 18. Johannesson I. 37. Maina L. 16. Kaminski J. 30. Bulter M. 13. El Mala S.	40. Feller F. (G) 23. Traore O. H. 6. Mainka P. (C) 19. Fohrenbach J. 26. Behrens H. 3. Schoppner J. 30. Dorsch N. 8. Dinkci E. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 18. Pieringer M. 11. Zivzivadze B.
Substitutes
17. Castro-Montes A. 3. Heintz D. 8. Huseinbasic D. 11. Kainz F. 38. Niang Y. 29. Thielmann J. 33. van den Berg R. 7. Waldschmidt L. 20. Zieler R. (G)	21. Beck A. 10. Conteh C. 17. Honsak M. 20. Kerber L. 16. Niehues J. 41. Ramaj D. (G) 9. Schimmer S. 4. Siersleben T. 25. Stergiou L.
Coaches
Wagner R.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Schoppner J. ⚽, Ibrahimovic A. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Bulter M. ⚽, Krauss T. (A),
28', 1 - 2, Ibrahimovic A. ⚽,
30', Dinkci E. 🟨,
37', Zivzivadze B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', El Mala S. 🟨,
59', Krauss T. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
72', Schmied J. ↓, Castro-Montes A. ↑,
72', Maina L. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Schoppner J. ⚽,
76', Traore O. H. ↓, Stergiou L. ↑,
76', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Conteh C. ↑,
84', Dinkci E. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
84', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
89', Lund K. ↓, Niang Y. ↑,
89', Ozkacar C. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
89', Johannesson I. 🟨,
89', Pieringer M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Köln could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Köln: Ache R. (Muscle Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Martel E. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Busch M. (Injury) Fohrenbach J. (Concussion)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	FC Koln	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Heidenheim - the odds 4.37 are the expected chance of winning is 21.57%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
02.05.26	Union Berlin - Köln	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Köln - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	St. Pauli - Köln	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Köln - Werder Bremen	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Köln	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLTWT
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
02.05.26	Bayern Munich - Heidenheim	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Heidenheim - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Freiburg - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Heidenheim - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.8 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
10.01.26	Heidenheim - Köln	2:2
18.05.24	Heidenheim - Köln	4:1
13.01.24	Köln - Heidenheim	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
07.04.19	Heidenheim - Köln	0:2
27.10.18	Köln - Heidenheim	1:1

Upcoming Matches