Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 28

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Exbud Arena (Kielce)

Referee: Malec P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sporty TV
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
World	Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic


	Korona Kielce		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.58	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.67
	2.68	3.7	2.48	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.5
	2.76	3.56	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.65)	3.49 ↑ (3.18)	2.5 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce
35.7%

Draw
26.8%

Jagiellonia Białystok
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27.8%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

26.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dziekonski X. (G) 23. Rubezic S. 5. Resta P. 6. Pieczek M. 71. Dlugosz W. 88. Svetlin T. 8. Remacle M. 3. Matuszewski K. 9. Davidovic S. 14. Stepinski M. 7. Blanik D. (C)	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 7. Pozo A. 13. Vital B. 70. Pelmard A. 23. Montoia G. 6. Romanczuk T. 11. Imaz J. 86. Mazurek B. 19. Nahuel M. 10. Pululu A. (C) 77. Szmyt K.
Substitutes
70. Antonin 77. Cebula M. 21. Ciszek K. 86. Gustafson S. 19. Hancko A. 87. Mamla R. (G) 11. Nikolov V. 10. Nono 26. Popov V. 24. Smolarczyk B. 37. Zwozny H.	14. Bazdar S. 66. Damasiewicz A. (G) 8. Drachal D. 4. Kobayashi Y. 85. Kozlowski E. 21. Lozano S. 17. Sylla Y. 27. Wdowik B. 15. Wojtuszek N. 80. Zalewski Z.
Coaches
Zielinski J.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Remacle M. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Pululu A. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Zielinski J. 🟨,
31', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
74', Pululu A. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
74', Szmyt K. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
76', Remacle M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
79', Pozo A. ↓, Wojtuszek N. ↑,
79', Imaz J. ↓, Zalewski Z. ↑,
82', Davidovic S. ↓, Antonin ↑,
82', Blanik D. ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
85', Mazurek B. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
90+3', Stepinski M. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 1.

Korona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jagiellonia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Korona: Sotiriou K. (Red Card)

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Flach L. (Knee Injury) Jozwiak K. (Groin Injury) Konstantopoulos A. (Health problems) Piekutowski M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Stojinovic D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:45. (average 1.1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.3:1.9).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Korona Kielce: 2.08% Jagiellonia: 1.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	12:10	2	15
10	Jagiellonia	9	4	0	5	13:16	-3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.04.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce	4:2 ✺
22.03.26	Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia	3:0 ✺
16.03.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Korona Kielce - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Motor Lublin - Korona Kielce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWL
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.04.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - GKS Katowice	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
05.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	3:1
27.04.25	Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:1
27.10.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	3:1
11.05.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	3:0
Polish Cup
28.02.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	2:1 ET
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.11.23	Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:2
15.04.23	Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1

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