Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 33

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Suzuki Arena (Kielce)

Referee: Malec P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Korona Kielce		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4.5	Watch
	1.7	3.9	4.5
	1.72	4	4.33	Watch
	1.72	4.07	4.59
	1.73	4.07	4.58
	1.62	3.9	4.4
	1.7	3.96	4.45	Watch
	1.67	3.75	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	3.94 ↑ (3.35)	4.48 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce
55.3%

Draw
23.8%

Ruch Chorzów
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Korona Kielce's performance.

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Korona Kielce - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Dziekonski X. (G) 6. Podgorski J. 66. Trojak M. 94. Kwiecien B. (C) 23. Pieczek M. 18. Hofmayster Y. 17. Blanik D. 88. Remacle M. 27. Krogstad F. 21. Trejo D. 20. Dalmau A.	36. Stipica D. (G) 59. Stepinski P. 20. Szymanski S. 6. Josema 96. Dadok R. 88. Vlkanova A. 22. Starzynski F. 5. Wojtowicz T. 19. Feliks M. 95. Szczepan D. (C) 24. Baranski B.
Substitutes
71. Fornalczyk M. 10. Forsell P. 19. Konstantyn J. 7. Lukowski J. 4. Malarczyk P. 87. Mamla R. (G) 9. Shikavka Y. 8. Takac D. 2. Zator D.	77. Bartolewski M. 1. Buchalik M. (G) 27. Dlugosz W. 10. Foszmanczyk T. 33. Huras M. 70. Kozak M. 86. Novothny S. 21. Sadlok M. 54. Wilak F.
Coaches
Kuzera K.	Niedzwiedz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Vlkanova A. 🟨,
34', Szczepan D. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Dadok R. (Own goal),
45', Remacle M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Szczepan D. ↓, Novothny S. ↑,
46', Feliks M. ↓, Wilak F. ↑,
57', Kwiecien B. 🟨,
58', Vlkanova A. ↓, Kozak M. ↑,
66', Kwiecien B. ↓, Lukowski J. ↑,
66', Blanik D. ↓, Zator D. ↑,
67', Dalmau A. ↓, Shikavka Y. ↑,
71', Stepinski P. ↓, Dlugosz W. ↑,
73', Trejo D. ↓, Fornalczyk M. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Shikavka Y. ⚽, Podgorski J. (A),
85', Remacle M. ↓, Takac D. ↑,
86', Starzynski F. ↓, Foszmanczyk T. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Ruch Chorzów is Relegated to Division 1

Last 5 head-to-head matches Korona won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ruch Chorzów could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Korona is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Korona won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Korona won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.05.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	3:0 ✺
05.05.24	Korona Kielce - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
29.04.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Korona Kielce	1:1 ✺
19.04.24	Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom	4:0 ✺
12.04.24	Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTWL
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.05.24	Radomiak Radom - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Ruch Chorzów - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Ruch Chorzów	2:3 ✺
20.04.24	Ruch Chorzów - Widzew Łódź	2:3 ✺
12.04.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Ruch Chorzów	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
26.11.23	Ruch Chorzów - Korona Kielce	1:1
Club Friendly
14.07.21	Korona Kielce - Ruch Chorzów	1:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.04.17	Korona Kielce - Ruch Chorzów	1:0
24.10.16	Ruch Chorzów - Korona Kielce	4:0
01.12.15	Ruch Chorzów - Korona Kielce	2:1
03.08.15	Korona Kielce - Ruch Chorzów	1:2
08.05.15	Korona Kielce - Ruch Chorzów	0:2

Upcoming Matches