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Current Win Probability
V-Varen Nagasaki 19.4%
Draw 25.5%
Vissel Kobe 55.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.3%
26.4%
52.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.7%
25.7%
53.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
V Varen Nagasaki - Vissel Kobe Predictions
Users Predictions:
Vissel Kobe will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Goto M. (G) 22. Onaga H. 25. Kushibiki K. 4. Dudu Giusti 3. Sekiguchi M. 5. Yamaguchi H. (C) 24. Yamada R. 23. Yoneda S. 41. Hasegawa M. 10. Matheus Jesus 9. Thiago
1. Maekawa D. (G) 80. Nduka B. 3. Thuler M. 16. Caetano 2. Iino N. 24. Sakai G. (C) 7. Ideguchi Y. 15. Diego 11. Muto Y. 13. Sasaki D. 10. Osako Y.
Substitutes
11. Campbell N. 21. Diego Pituca 6. Egawa Y. 13. Hatano G. (G) 33. Kasayanagi T. 34. Matsumoto T. 17. Takahata K. 48. Teruyama H. 18. Yamasaki R.
5. Goke Y. 71. Gonda S. (G) 44. Hidaka M. 23. Hirose R. 26. Jean Patric 29. Komatsu R. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 19. Mitsuta M. 41. Nagato K.
Coaches
Takagi T.
Skibbe M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
21', 1 - 0, Yamaguchi H. ⚽, Matheus Jesus (A),
27', 1 - 1, Muto Y. ⚽, Iino N. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Thuler M. ⚽,
37', Caetano 🟨,
45', 2 - 2, Dudu Giusti ⚽, Matheus Jesus (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Iino N. ↓, Hirose R. ↑,
63', Thiago ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
64', Osako Y. ↓, Komatsu R. ↑,
66', Onaga H. 🟨,
71', Dudu Giusti ↓, Egawa Y. ↑,
79', Caetano ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
79', Ideguchi Y. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
81', Kushibiki K. ↓, Teruyama H. ↑,
81', Yamada R. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
81', Hasegawa M. ↓, Campbell N. ↑,
90+2', Diego Pituca 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Muto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Matheus Jesus (Penalty Awarded),
2, Hirose R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Yamasaki R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Mitsuta M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Campbell N. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Jean Patric (Penalty Awarded),
4, Diego Pituca (Penalty Awarded),
5, Sasaki D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Vissel Kobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Vissel Kobe is the team to beat.
There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano
(Knee Injury)
Nagura T.
(Illness)
There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S.
(Knee Injury)
Iwanami T.
(Leg Injury)
Tominaga N.
(Injury)
There are questionable in V-Varen Nagasaki: Iwasaki Y.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Ogihara T.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
Brazil
China
Japan
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Goto M. (G) 
Dudu Giusti 
Campbell N. 
Skibbe M. 
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