Match Info

Date: 13 July 2021, Tuesday


	LDU Quito		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.4
	1.64	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.63	3.45	4.8
	1.69	3.77	5.18
	1.7	3.4	5	Watch
	1.69	3.72	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.73)	3.66 ↑ (3.55)	4.92 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
55.8%

Draw
25.3%

Grêmio
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

26%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

20.9%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for LDU Quito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.2%	10.9%	37%

LDU Quito - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 24 - 52.2%). Grêmio will win (votes: 17 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 37.8% – 66.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

LDU Quito in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Grêmio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Grêmio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match LDU Quito is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's LDU Quito to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 4 head-to-head matches LDU Quito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams LDU Quito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Super Cup
26.06.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
22.06.21	LDU Quito - Delfín	4:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.05.21	LDU Quito - Orense	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.21	LDU Quito - Unión La Calera	5:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.05.21	Delfín - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWT
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
10.07.21	Grêmio - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
07.07.21	Palmeiras - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
04.07.21	Grêmio - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
30.06.21	Juventude - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
27.06.21	Grêmio - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
13.04.16	LDU Quito - Grêmio	2:3
02.03.16	Grêmio - LDU Quito	4:0
30.01.13	Grêmio - LDU Quito	2:0 pen.
23.01.13	LDU Quito - Grêmio	1:0

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