The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lecce 47.9%
Draw 29.3%
Spezia 22.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.9%
27.9%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
23.8%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Lecce have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lecce that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.1%
19.2%
7.7%
Lecce - Spezia Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 56.1% โ 90.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17).
Lecce has the most likely position - 16 (64.62%), project points - 36, currently - 32, a small chance of relegated (8%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
Spezia has the most likely position - 17 (45.87%), project points - 33, currently - 30, a chance of relegated (36%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality54, big importance74, match rating64. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
The competitors look crappy now.
Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Lecce will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lecce won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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