Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Pershiy, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24


	Leeds United		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.9	1.7
	4.8	4.2	1.63
	4.9	4	1.7
	4.95	4.1	1.72
	4.85	4.14	1.71	Watch
	4.6	3.75	1.67
	5.17	3.99	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↓ (4.95)	4.01 ↓ (4.4)	1.69 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
19.7%

Draw
23.8%

Manchester City
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

21.8%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21.1%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.2%	9.3%	85.6%

Leeds United - Manchester City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Leeds (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Man City (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Man City (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Leeds (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (83 of 97 users predict this - 85.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 92.56%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (34 of 34 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 38 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 2 - 5.3%). Man City (votes: 36 - 94.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Darlow K. (G) 2. Bogle J. 24. Justin J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. 3. Gudmundsson G. 18. Stach A. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 44. Gruev I. 11. Aaronson B. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.	25. Donnarumma G. (G) 27. Nunes M. 3. Dias R. 15. Guehi M. 21. Ait-Nouri R. 16. Rodri 10. Cherki R. 20. Silva B. (C) 33. O'Reilly N. 7. Marmoush O. 42. Semenyo A.
Substitutes
15. Bijol J. 23. Bornauw S. 29. Gnonto W. 7. James D. 8. Longstaff S. 1. Lucas Perri (G) 14. Nmecha L. 10. Piroe J. 22. Tanaka A.	6. Ake N. 11. Doku J. 47. Foden P. 45. Khusanov A. 14. Nico 4. Reijnders T. 26. Savinho 5. Stones J. 1. Trafford J. (G)
Coaches
Farke D.	Guardiola P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Semenyo A. ⚽, Ait-Nouri R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Aaronson B. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
68', Marmoush O. ↓, Savinho ↑,
70', O'Reilly N. ↓, Reijnders T. ↑,
75', Gruev I. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
76', Bogle J. ↓, James D. ↑,
85', Donnarumma G. 🟨,
87', Justin J. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
87', Rodon J. ↓, Bijol J. ↑,
88', Cherki R. ↓, Ake N. ↑,
90+2', Ait-Nouri R. 🟨,
90+2', Savinho 🟨,
90+7', Farke D. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 0.

In recent matches, Leeds has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Man City is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Man City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Man City is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:25. (average 0.9:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Manchester City: 17.65% Leeds: 0.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13:5	8	15
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7:3	4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English Premier League
21.02.26	Aston Villa - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Birmingham City - Leeds United	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
10.02.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Leeds United - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Leeds United - Arsenal	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWTWL
- Manchester City
English Premier League
21.02.26	Manchester City - Newcastle United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Manchester City - Salford City	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Manchester City - Fulham	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Liverpool - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
04.02.26	Manchester City - Newcastle United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
29.11.25	Manchester City - Leeds United	3:2
06.05.23	Manchester City - Leeds United	2:1
28.12.22	Leeds United - Manchester City	1:3
30.04.22	Leeds United - Manchester City	0:4
14.12.21	Manchester City - Leeds United	7:0
10.04.21	Manchester City - Leeds United	1:2
03.10.20	Leeds United - Manchester City	1:1

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