Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Play Offs - Final

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Wembley Stadium (London)

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Brazil	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Sky Sports


	Leeds United		Southampton

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3.1
	2.28	3.36	3.16
	2.36	3.36	3.25
	2.33	3.36	3.25
	2.3	3.2	3.1
	2.34	3.36	3.17	Watch
	2.27	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.48)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)	3.19 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
41.4%

Draw
28.7%

Southampton
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.1%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

28.2%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20.8%	12.5%

Leeds United - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). S`hampton will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meslier I. (G) 22. Gray A. 14. Rodon J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 3. Firpo J. 44. Gruev I. 8. Kamara G. 29. Gnonto W. 24. Rutter G. 10. Summerville C. 7. Piroe J.	1. McCarthy A. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 21. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. 5. Stephens J. (C) 16. Smallbone W. 4. Downes F. 7. Aribo J. 36. Brooks D. 9. Armstrong A. 26. Fraser R.
Substitutes
12. Anthony J. 25. Byram S. 6. Cooper L. 28. Darlow K. (G) 30. Gelhardt J. 20. James D. 49. Joseph M. 33. Roberts C. 17. Shackleton J.	10. Adams C. 14. Bree J. 24. Charles S. 23. Edozie S. 13. Lumley J. (G) 3. Manning R. 19. Rothwell J. 11. Stewart R. 20. Sulemana K.
Coaches
Farke D.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Armstrong A. ⚽, Smallbone W. (A),
35', Brooks D. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
39', Bednarek J. 🟨,
43', Summerville C. 🟨,
45', Fraser R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
66', Gnonto W. ↓, James D. ↑,
70', Fraser R. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
73', Kamara G. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
74', Summerville C. ↓, Anthony J. ↑,
79', Adams C. 🟨,
83', Firpo J. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
83', Edozie S. ↓, Manning R. ↑,
85', Downes F. 🟨,
90+12', Aribo J. 🟨,
90+12', Ampadu E. 🟨,

Preview

Playing at Wembley Stadium.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leeds won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Leeds will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leeds: Bamford P. (Knee Injury) Struijk P. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Armstrong S. (Injury) Bazunu G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Larios J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Leeds won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Leeds won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English League Championship
16.05.24	Leeds United - Norwich City	4:0 ✺
12.05.24	Norwich City - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Leeds United - Southampton	1:2 ✺
26.04.24	Queens Park Rangers - Leeds United	4:0 ✺
22.04.24	Middlesbrough - Leeds United	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLW
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
17.05.24	Southampton - West Bromwich Albion	3:1 ✺
12.05.24	West Bromwich Albion - Southampton	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Leeds United - Southampton	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Southampton - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
23.04.24	Leicester City - Southampton	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.05.24	Leeds United - Southampton	1:2
30.09.23	Southampton - Leeds United	3:1
English Premier League
25.02.23	Leeds United - Southampton	1:0
13.08.22	Southampton - Leeds United	2:2
02.04.22	Leeds United - Southampton	1:1
16.10.21	Southampton - Leeds United	1:0
18.05.21	Southampton - Leeds United	0:2

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