Match Info

Date: 13 November 2021, Saturday


	Leiston		Harrow Borough

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	2.55
	2.39	3.4	2.55
	2.56	3.31	2.69
	2.46	3.55	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.3)	3.39 ↓ (3.6)	2.6 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
37.6%

Draw
27.1%

Harrow Borough
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

18.7%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Harrow Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leiston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harrow Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leiston - Harrow Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Leiston is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Harrow is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leiston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Leiston won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Leiston won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
08.11.21	Hitchin Town - Leiston	4:1 ✺
06.11.21	Leiston - Stourbridge	2:1 ✺
02.11.21	Leiston - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
26.10.21	Biggleswade Town - Leiston	3:2 ✺
23.10.21	Tamworth - Leiston	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLW
- Harrow Borough
English FA Cup
06.11.21	Portsmouth - Harrow Borough	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
26.10.21	Harrow Borough - Gosport Borough	1:0 ✺
23.10.21	Harrow Borough - Wimborne Town	2:0 ✺
19.10.21	Kings Langley - Harrow Borough	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
16.10.21	Harrow Borough - Chelmsford City	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.04.18	Leiston - Harrow Borough	3:0
16.12.17	Harrow Borough - Leiston	0:5
11.04.17	Leiston - Harrow Borough	2:2
18.02.17	Harrow Borough - Leiston	3:1
16.03.16	Leiston - Harrow Borough	2:0
05.03.16	Harrow Borough - Leiston	0:0
14.03.15	Leiston - Harrow Borough	0:0

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