Match Info

Date: 26 May 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz (Asunción)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Libertad Asuncion		The Strongest

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	6
	1.49	4.2	6.25
	1.48	4.4	6.5
	1.5	4.3	5.6
	1.52	4.46	6.49
	1.47	4	6	Watch
	1.5	4.5	5.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.37)	4.31 ↓ (4.41)	6.11 ↓ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Espa√±ol (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
62.8%

Draw
21.8%

The Strongest
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

20.9%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

20.1%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.3%	22.6%	16.1%

Libertad Asuncion - The Strongest Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 19 - 61.3%). The Strongest will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 44.2% – 78.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Libertad is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches The Strongest is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Libertad is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Libertad to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.05.22	Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.05.22	Athletico Paranaense - Libertad Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.05.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Libertad Asuncion	1:3 ✺
10.05.22	Libertad Asuncion - Tacuary	3:0 ✺
07.05.22	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.4 WLWWW
- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
21.05.22	The Strongest - Aurora	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.05.22	Caracas - The Strongest	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.05.22	The Strongest - Guabirá	0:0 ✺
11.05.22	Nacional Potosí - The Strongest	1:1 ✺
08.05.22	Bolívar - The Strongest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
07.04.22	The Strongest - Libertad Asuncion	1:1
13.02.19	Libertad Asuncion - The Strongest	5:1
05.02.19	The Strongest - Libertad Asuncion	1:1
03.05.18	The Strongest - Libertad Asuncion	1:3
03.04.18	Libertad Asuncion - The Strongest	3:0

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