Match Info

Date: 22 February 2022, Tuesday


	Sunderland		Burton Albion

	1	X	2
	1.72	4	4.5
	1.71	3.75	4.5
	1.75	3.65	5
	1.68	3.8	4.5
	1.71	4.04	4.89
	1.75	3.6	4.5
	1.73	4.15	4.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.69)	3.86 ↑ (3.63)	4.68 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sunderland
55.1%

Draw
24.6%

Burton Albion
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.7%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

16.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burton Albion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sunderland - Burton Albion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 12).

Sunderland has the most likely position - 8 (15.82%), has project points - 75, has currently - 55, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Burton has the most likely position - 14 (15.36%), has project points - 59, has currently - 43, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 22, small importance 11, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 0.

Sunderland has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Burton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sunderland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League One
19.02.22	Sunderland - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	AFC Wimbledon - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
08.02.22	Cheltenham Town - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Sunderland - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
29.01.22	Bolton Wanderers - Sunderland	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Burton Albion
English League One
19.02.22	Ipswich Town - Burton Albion	3:0 ✺
15.02.22	Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers	3:1 ✺
12.02.22	Burton Albion - Cambridge United	2:2 ✺
08.02.22	Portsmouth - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Burton Albion - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
17.08.21	Burton Albion - Sunderland	1:0
20.02.21	Burton Albion - Sunderland	0:3
01.12.20	Sunderland - Burton Albion	1:1
26.11.19	Sunderland - Burton Albion	1:2
09.04.19	Sunderland - Burton Albion	1:1
15.09.18	Burton Albion - Sunderland	2:1
English League Championship
21.04.18	Sunderland - Burton Albion	1:2

Upcoming Matches