Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Anfield (Liverpool)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Fox Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 4
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Max
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 4
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Universal
Germany	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	Wowow Live
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 5
Mexico	HBO Max
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, LFC TV, LFCTV GO
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Liverpool		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	1.72	4	4.2
	1.82	3.8	4.1
	1.82	3.95	4.25	Watch
	1.83	4.05	4.32
	1.83	3.94	4.32	Watch
	1.83	3.9	4.2
	1.85	4.08	4.25
	1.82	3.95	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.67)	3.96 ↓ (4.34)	4.24 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
53%

Draw
24.3%

Bayer Leverkusen
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

22.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

20.6%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liverpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	10.8%	6.9%

Liverpool - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (83 of 100 users predict this - 83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.64% – 90.36%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
62. Kelleher C. (G) 66. Alexander-Arnold T. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 21. Tsimikas K. 17. Jones C. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 11. Salah M. 18. Gakpo C. 7. Diaz L.	1. Hradecky L. (C) 30. Frimpong J. 12. Tapsoba E. 4. Tah J. 3. Hincapie P. 20. Grimaldo A. 25. Palacios E. 34. Xhaka G. 10. Wirtz F. 22. Boniface V. 24. Garcia A.
Substitutes
84. Bradley C. 95. Davies H. (G) 3. Endo W. 2. Gomez J. 56. Jaros V. (G) 80. Morton T. 9. Nunez D. 78. Quansah J. 26. Robertson A. 8. Szoboszlai D.	8. Andrich R. 13. Arthur 7. Hofmann J. 17. Kovar M. (G) 36. Lomb N. (G) 40. Onyeka F. 14. Schick P. 19. Tella N.
Coaches
Slot A.	Alonso X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Garcia A. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
60', Hradecky L. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Jones C. (A),
63', 2 - 0, Gakpo C. ⚽, Salah M. (A),
73', Palacios E. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
73', Garcia A. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
74', Jones C. ↓, Szoboszlai D. ↑,
80', Gakpo C. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
81', Tsimikas K. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
81', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Bradley C. ↑,
81', Grimaldo A. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
81', Boniface V. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Salah M. (A),
88', Konate I. ↓, Quansah J. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽,

Preview

Liverpool in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bayer is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Liverpool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Liverpool is a favorite.

There will not play in Liverpool: Alisson (Hamstring Injury) Chiesa F. (Muscle Injury) Diogo Jota (Chest Injury) Elliott H. (Broken ankle)

There will not play in Bayer: Adli A. (Shin Injury) Belocian J. (Broken ankle) Mukiele N. (Thigh Injury) Terrier M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Liverpool: Konate I. (Arm Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
02.11.24	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
30.10.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
27.10.24	Arsenal - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	RB Leipzig - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
20.10.24	Liverpool - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTWW
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
01.11.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Elversberg	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.24	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	Brest - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.10.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.08.12	Liverpool - Bayer Leverkusen	3:1

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