The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luton Town 62.3%
Draw 20.3%
Barnsley 17.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.7%
21.7%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
21%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Luton Town - Barnsley Predictions
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Luton (1.53) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 16th and 21st in the Relegation - League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3.
Luton has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Barnsley is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Barnsley may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Luton is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Luton: Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Benagr B.
(Injury)
Kodua G.
(Injury)
Luker J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Morris S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sandal S.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Barnsley: Jalo F.
(Inactive)
Larkeche Z.
(Inactive)
Smith I.
(Inactive)
Toure B.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Barnsley: Kirk M.
(Inactive).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Luton has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:14 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Luton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Luton
9
3
2
4
17:17
0
11
21
Barnsley
9
2
2
5
9:17
-8
8
Outrights of English League One for now
Luton: 7.09% Barnsley: 0.39%
Last Results with these Odds
Luton Town - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.67%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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