Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:00	Optus Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport
Brazil	12:00	ESPN 4
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 4
Denmark	16:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Germany	16:00	Sky Sport Mix
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports
Hungary	16:00	Match 4
Malaysia	23:00	Astro
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
Norway	16:00	Viaplay
Poland	16:00	Viaplay
Portugal	15:00	Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	16:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Turkey	18:00	beIN Sports 4


	Luton Town		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.6
	5.25	4	1.62
	5.6	4.2	1.62	Watch
	5.55	4.2	1.63
	5.53	4.19	1.64
	5	4	1.6
	5.5	4.1	1.62	Watch
	5.4	4.2	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↑ (4.87)	4.14 ↓ (4.25)	1.62 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
17.8%

Draw
23.1%

Newcastle United
59.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.5%

22.3%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

21.2%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.7%	12.7%	74.6%

Luton Town - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 8 - 12.7%). Newcastle will win (votes: 47 - 74.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 63.9% – 85.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 2. Osho G. 29. Bell A. (C) 12. Kabore I. 28. Lokonga A. S. 6. Barkley R. 45. Doughty A. 30. Townsend A. 19. Brown J. 11. Adebayo E.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Trippier K. 6. Lascelles J. (C) 5. Schar F. 33. Burn D. 67. Miley L. 39. Guimaraes B. 36. Longstaff S. 24. Almiron M. 9. Wilson C. 10. Gordon A.
Substitutes
5. Andersen M. 14. Chong T. 18. Clark J. 26. Giles R. 23. Krul T. (G) 9. Morris C. 17. Mpanzu P. 7. Ogbene C. 10. Woodrow C.	4. Botman S. 3. Dummett P. 20. Hall L. 14. Isak A. 18. Karius L. (G) 17. Krafth E. 21. Livramento V. 54. Murphy A. 11. Ritchie M.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Howe E.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 6).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Newcastle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Newcastle is a favorite.

There will not play in Luton: Burke R. (Injury) Lockyer T. (Heart Problems) Potts D. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Newcastle: Anderson E. (Back Injury) Barnes H. (Ankle Injury) Joelinton (Muscle Injury) Manquillo J. (Groin Injury) Murphy J. (Shoulder Injury) Pope N. (Shoulder Injury) Schar F. (Muscle Injury) Targett M. (Injury) Tonali S. (Suspended) Willock J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Luton: Woodrow C. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Gordon A. (Calf Injury) Isak A. (Groin Injury) Krafth E. (Calf Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Luton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English Premier League
10.12.23	Luton Town - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
05.12.23	Luton Town - Arsenal	3:4 ✺
02.12.23	Brentford - Luton Town	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Luton Town - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Manchester United - Luton Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWL
- Newcastle United
English League Cup
19.12.23	Chelsea - Newcastle United	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
16.12.23	Newcastle United - Fulham	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.12.23	Newcastle United - Milan	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
10.12.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
07.12.23	Everton - Newcastle United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
06.01.18	Newcastle United - Luton Town	3:1

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