Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 13 December 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Golf
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Newcastle United		Milan

	1	X	2
	1.85	4	3.75
	1.87	3.8	3.8
	1.92	4	3.8	Watch
	1.93	4.13	3.82
	1.9	4.14	3.82
	1.83	3.8	3.7
	1.93	4.2	4.05
	1.9	3.95	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.77)	4 ↑ (3.94)	3.82 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
50.8%

Draw
24%

Milan
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.2%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

25.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.1%	9.3%	11.6%

Newcastle United - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (68 of 86 users predict this - 79.07%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.47% – 87.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Trippier K. 6. Lascelles J. (C) 5. Schar F. 21. Livramento V. 67. Miley L. 39. Guimaraes B. 7. Joelinton 24. Almiron M. 9. Wilson C. 10. Gordon A.	16. Maignan M. (G) 2. Calabria D. (C) 23. Tomori F. 19. Hernandez T. 42. Florenzi A. 80. Musah Y. 14. Reijnders T. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 11. Pulisic C. 9. Giroud O. 10. Leao R.
Substitutes
33. Burn D. 3. Dummett P. 20. Hall L. 82. Harrison A. (G) 14. Isak A. 18. Karius L. (G) 36. Longstaff S.	7. Adli Y. 95. Bartesaghi D. 21. Chukwueze S. 15. Jovic L. 33. Krunic R. 83. Mirante A. (G) 69. Nava L. (G) 84. Nsiala C. 17. Okafor N. 32. Pobega T. 70. Traore C.
Coaches
Howe E.	Pioli S.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Milan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Newcastle is a favorite.

There will not play in Newcastle: Anderson E. (Back Injury) Barnes H. (Ankle Injury) Botman S. (Knee Injury) Burn D. (Back Injury) Manquillo J. (Groin Injury) Murphy J. (Shoulder Injury) Pope N. (Shoulder Injury) Targett M. (Injury) Tonali S. (Suspended) Willock J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Milan: Caldara M. (Ankle Injury) Kalulu P. (Knee Injury) Kjaer S. (Muscle Injury) Pellegrino M. (Leg Injury) Sportiello M. (Calf Injury) Thiaw M. (Hamstring Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English Premier League
10.12.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
07.12.23	Everton - Newcastle United	3:0 ✺
02.12.23	Newcastle United - Manchester United	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.11.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
25.11.23	Newcastle United - Chelsea	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWTW
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
09.12.23	Atalanta - Milan	3:2 ✺
02.12.23	Milan - Frosinone	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.11.23	Milan - Borussia Dortmund	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.11.23	Milan - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Lecce - Milan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
19.09.23	Milan - Newcastle United	0:0

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