Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 8

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Sunderland		Derby County

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5	Watch
	1.66	3.8	5.25
	1.64	3.92	5.36	Watch
	1.67	3.89	5.45
	1.7	3.87	4.9	Watch
	1.65	3.8	5.8
	1.67	3.88	5.15	Watch
	1.68	3.94	4.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)	3.89 ↑ (3.66)	5.23 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sunderland
57.3%

Draw
24.5%

Derby County
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.9%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

25.6%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	3.4%	6.9%

Sunderland - Derby County Predictions

Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 11. Rigg C. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 10. Roberts P. 18. Isidor W. 14. Mundle R.	1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 2. Wilson K. 35. Nelson C. 6. Cashin E. (C) 12. Phillips N. 17. Goudmijn K. 8. Osborn B. 32. Adams E. 18. Harness M. 10. Yates J. 28. Chirewa T.
Substitutes
30. Aleksic M. 17. Ba A. 8. Browne A. 33. Hjelde L. F. 5. Johnson Z. 21. Moore S. (G) 36. Poveda I. 15. Rusyn N. 40. Watson T.	27. Blackett-Taylor C. 5. Bradley S. 39. Brown D. 9. Collins J. 3. Forsyth C. 19. Jackson K. 11. Mendez-Laing N. 24. Nyambe R. 31. Vickers J. (G)
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Warne P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Cirkin D. 🟨,
36', Harness M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Bellingham J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Isidor W. ⚽, Mundle R. (A),
59', Mepham C. 🟨,
65', Chirewa T. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,
65', Osborn B. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
66', Harness M. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
66', Yates J. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
74', Rigg C. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
74', Roberts P. ↓, Poveda I. ↑,
75', Phillips N. ↓, Nyambe R. ↑,
85', Isidor W. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
85', Poveda I. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
89', Goudmijn K. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Abdullahi A. (Groin Injury) Alese A. (Ankle Injury) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Derby: Barkhuizen T. (Calf Injury) Ozoh D. (Hamstring Injury) Rooney J. (Knee Injury) Thompson L. (Muscle Injury) Wilson K. (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
28.09.24	Watford - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Sunderland - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Plymouth Argyle - Sunderland	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Portsmouth - Sunderland	1:3 ✺
24.08.24	Sunderland - Burnley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLWW
- Derby County
English League Championship
28.09.24	Derby County - Norwich City	2:3 ✺
21.09.24	Sheffield United - Derby County	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Derby County - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Derby County - Bristol City	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Barrow - Derby County	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
30.03.18	Derby County - Sunderland	1:4
04.08.17	Sunderland - Derby County	1:1
Club Friendly
08.08.12	Derby County - Sunderland	N/A

Upcoming Matches