Match Info

Date: 15 April 2021, Thursday


	Manchester United		Granada

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5
	1.5	4.33	6.5
	1.52	4.35	6.75
	1.48	4.1	6.6
	1.56	4.19	6.62
	1.52	4	6.5
	1.53	4.4	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.46)	4.24 ↓ (4.45)	6.63 ↓ (7.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
63.1%

Draw
22.5%

Granada
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

21.4%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76%

18.4%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.5%	11.7%	9.8%

Manchester United - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (128 of 163 users predict this - 78.53%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.23% – 84.83%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. No spectators. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Man Utd was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a very good chance of semis (>99%), has a good chance of final (67%), has a chance of win league (43%).

Granada was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Man Utd is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Granada is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Man Utd have a series of guest games.

In this match Man Utd is indisputable favorite.

In this match Man Utd is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
11.04.21	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.04.21	Granada - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
04.04.21	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
21.03.21	Leicester City - Manchester United	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.03.21	Milan - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLW
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
11.04.21	Valladolid - Granada	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.04.21	Granada - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.04.21	Granada - Villarreal	0:3 ✺
21.03.21	Valencia - Granada	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.03.21	Molde - Granada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
08.04.21	Granada - Manchester United	0:2

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