Match Info

Premier League - Round 34

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sunderland		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.8
	2.65	3.2	2.85
	2.72	3.17	2.92
	2.78	3.24	2.69	Watch
	2.63	3	2.8
	2.7	3.19	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.85)	3.15 ↓ (3.41)	2.82 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
35.7%

Draw
30.4%

Nottingham Forest
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28.1%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

28.9%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	50%	26.2%

Sunderland - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 10 - 26.3%). Nottingham will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 52.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.7% – 68.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sunderland (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 20. Mukiele N. 5. Ballard D. 15. Alderete O. 32. Hume T. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 11. Rigg C. 19. Diarra H. 28. Le Fee E. 9. Brobbey B.	26. Sels M. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 23. Cunha 3. Williams N. 21. Hutchinson O. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 19. Igor Jesus 11. Wood Ch.
Substitutes
3. Cirkin D. 31. Ellborg M. (G) 6. Geertruida L. 18. Isidor W. 50. Jones H. 17. Mandava R. 12. Mayenda E. 13. O'Nien L. 7. Talbi C.	9. Awoniyi T. 29. Bakwa D. 16. Dominguez N. 24. McAtee J. 4. Morato 14. Ndoye D. 25. Netz L. 27. Ortega S. (G) 22. Yates R.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Pereira V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
17', 0 - 1, Hume T. (Own goal),
31', 0 - 2, Wood Ch. ⚽, Gibbs-White M. (A),
34', 0 - 3, Gibbs-White M. ⚽, Igor Jesus (A),
37', 0 - 4, Igor Jesus ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sangare I. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
46', Rigg C. ↓, Mandava R. ↑,
51', Cunha ↓, Morato ↑,
51', Diarra H. 🟨,
51', Dominguez N. 🟨,
58', Anderson E. 🟨,
60', Igor Jesus 🟨,
66', Diarra H. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
67', Hutchinson O. ↓, Netz L. ↑,
67', Igor Jesus ↓, Yates R. ↑,
69', Williams N. 🟨,
75', Xhaka G. 🟨,
76', Yates R. 🟨,
88', Wood Ch. ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 5, Anderson E. ⚽, Awoniyi T. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16).

In recent matches, Sunderland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nottingham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Sunderland: Bi J. T. (Ankle Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury) Traore B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nottingham: Boly W. (Knee Injury) Hudson-Odoi C. (Injury) John Victor (Knee Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Angulo N. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sunderland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Nottingham: 0.4% Sunderland: 0.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Nottingham	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Sunderland - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 33.66%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Nottingham Forest - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 38.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
19.04.26	Aston Villa - Sunderland	4:3 ✺
12.04.26	Sunderland - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Newcastle United - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.03.26	Port Vale - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWLL
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
19.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Burnley	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Porto	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.04.26	Porto - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
22.03.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
27.09.25	Nottingham Forest - Sunderland	0:1
Club Friendly
19.07.24	Nottingham Forest - Sunderland	1:1
English League Championship
30.12.17	Nottingham Forest - Sunderland	0:1
12.09.17	Sunderland - Nottingham Forest	0:1

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