Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport


	Port Vale		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.8	1.8	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.78
	4.5	3.75	1.83	Watch
	4.01	3.92	1.9
	4.44	3.76	1.84
	4	3.6	1.7
	4.4	3.8	1.81	Watch
	4.2	3.65	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (2.87)	3.75 ↑ (3.4)	1.81 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
22.3%

Draw
25.3%

Middlesbrough
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

27.5%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Port Vale's form might have worsened.

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Middlesbrough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Middlesbrough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Port Vale - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 25 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ripley C. (G) 27. Debrah J. 16. Lowe J. 5. Balmer K. 19. Massey G. 14. Ojo F. (C) 18. Arblaster O. 15. Grant C. 11. Devine A. 10. Chislett E. 8. Garrity B.	23. Glover T. (G) 15. Dijksteel A. 6. Fry D. 5. Clarke M. 27. Engel L. 16. Howson J. (C) 4. Barlaser D. 18. Silvera S. 25. Crooks M. 10. Rogers M. 9. Latte Lath E.
Substitutes
25. Dipepa B. 17. Iacovitti A. 12. Ikpeazu U. 13. Leutwiler J. (G) 9. Loft R. 30. Lomax B. 4. Sang T. 6. Smith N. 24. Walters R.	24. Bangura A. 57. Bilongo B. 22. Coulson H. 14. Gilbert A. 11. Jones I. 32. Jones J. (G) 48. Kavanagh C. 49. McCabe L. 38. Nkrumah D.
Coaches
Crosby A.	Carrick M.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Forss M. (Thigh Injury) Hackney H. (Groin Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McGree R. (Foot Injury) McNair P. (Back Injury) O'Brien L. (Ankle Injury) Smith T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Port Vale: Wilson J. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League One
16.12.23	Port Vale - Wigan Athletic	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
12.12.23	Port Vale - Stevenage Borough	3:4 penalties ✺
English League One
09.12.23	Exeter City - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Stevenage Borough - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWLT
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
16.12.23	Swansea City - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
13.12.23	Middlesbrough - Hull City	1:2 ✺
09.12.23	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Leeds United - Middlesbrough	3:2 ✺
28.11.23	Middlesbrough - Preston North End	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW

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