Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Middlesbrough		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.7	Watch
	4.6	3.8	1.63
	5.2	3.85	1.68
	4.8	3.85	1.66
	4.99	3.94	1.74
	4.8	3.5	1.65	Watch
	4.9	3.94	1.66	Watch
	4.8	3.85	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↓ (5.07)	3.82 ↓ (3.86)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
19.3%

Draw
24.6%

Brighton & Hove Albion
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

24%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

23.6%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	15.4%	69.2%

Middlesbrough - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 2.

Middlesbrough is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Brighton & Hove is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brighton & Hove could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Brighton & Hove have a series of guest games.

In this match Brighton & Hove is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
02.01.23	Birmingham City - Middlesbrough	1:3 ✺
29.12.22	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	Middlesbrough - Wigan Athletic	4:1 ✺
17.12.22	Burnley - Middlesbrough	3:1 ✺
10.12.22	Middlesbrough - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
03.01.23	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:4 ✺
31.12.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	2:4 ✺
26.12.22	Southampton - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3 ✺
English League Cup
21.12.22	Charlton Athletic - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
08.12.22	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
27.01.18	Middlesbrough - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1
English League Championship
07.05.16	Middlesbrough - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
19.12.15	Brighton & Hove Albion - Middlesbrough	0:3
02.05.15	Middlesbrough - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0
18.10.14	Brighton & Hove Albion - Middlesbrough	1:2
29.03.14	Brighton & Hove Albion - Middlesbrough	0:2
14.12.13	Middlesbrough - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1

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