Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 34

Date: 8 May 2023, Monday

Location: Dacia Arena (Udine)

Referee: Baroni N. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Fotboll
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Udinese		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7	Watch
	1.47	4.4	6.75
	1.48	4.35	6.75
	1.45	4.5	7
	1.47	4.66	7.43
	1.47	4.33	7
	1.46	4.55	6.85	Watch
	1.47	4.5	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.56)	4.47 ↑ (4.05)	7.05 ↑ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Udinese
65.1%

Draw
21.3%

Sampdoria
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

23.5%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

22.5%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.8%	12.8%	15.4%

Udinese - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 28 - 71.8%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 6 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 57.7% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Udinese has the most likely position - 12 (19.87%), project points - 50, currently - 43, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.

Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (97.99%), project points - 21, currently - 17, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 52, very small importance 0, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Udinese won 2.

Recent matches Udinese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sampdoria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Udinese is certain favorite.

There will not play in Udinese: Deulofeu G. (Knee Injury) Ebosse E. (Injury) Success I. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Sampdoria: Amione B. (Red Card) Audero E. (Shoulder Injury) Conti A. (Tendon Injury) Pussetto I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: De Luca M. (Knee Injury) Djuricic F. (Injury) Leris M. (Injury) Sabiri A. (Injury)

Last 22 head-to-head matches Udinese won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Udinese won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
04.05.23	Udinese - Napoli	1:1 ✺
28.04.23	Lecce - Udinese	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Udinese - Cremonese	3:0 ✺
16.04.23	Roma - Udinese	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Udinese - Monza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWLT
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie A
03.05.23	Sampdoria - Torino	0:2 ✺
30.04.23	Fiorentina - Sampdoria	5:0 ✺
22.04.23	Sampdoria - Spezia	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Lecce - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Sampdoria - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.01.23	Sampdoria - Udinese	0:1
05.03.22	Udinese - Sampdoria	2:1
03.10.21	Sampdoria - Udinese	3:3
16.05.21	Udinese - Sampdoria	0:1
16.01.21	Sampdoria - Udinese	2:1
12.07.20	Udinese - Sampdoria	1:3
24.11.19	Sampdoria - Udinese	2:1

Upcoming Matches