Match Info

Date: 24 November 2021, Wednesday


	Millwall		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	2.2
	3.6	3.25	2.15
	3.5	3.35	2.2
	3.45	3.15	2.16
	3.65	3.28	2.23
	3.3	3.2	2.2
	3.48	3.4	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.16)	3.28 ↓ (3.28)	2.19 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
27.3%

Draw
29.1%

Bournemouth
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

28.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

19.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millwall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bournemouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Millwall - Bournemouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Millwall has the most likely position - 8 (6.83%), has project points - 64, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bournemouth has the most likely position - 2 (37.74%), has project points - 89, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), has a good chance of promoted (72%), has a chance of win league (28%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bournemouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bournemouth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Millwall won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
20.11.21	Middlesbrough - Millwall	1:1 ✺
06.11.21	Millwall - Derby County	1:1 ✺
02.11.21	Millwall - Reading	1:0 ✺
30.10.21	Huddersfield Town - Millwall	1:0 ✺
23.10.21	Millwall - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWLW
- AFC Bournemouth
English League Championship
21.11.21	Derby County - Bournemouth	3:2 ✺
06.11.21	Bournemouth - Swansea City	4:0 ✺
03.11.21	Bournemouth - Preston North End	1:2 ✺
30.10.21	Reading - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
23.10.21	Bournemouth - Huddersfield Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.04.21	Millwall - Bournemouth	1:4
12.01.21	Bournemouth - Millwall	1:1
English FA Cup
07.01.17	Millwall - Bournemouth	3:0
English League Championship
28.12.14	Millwall - Bournemouth	0:2
29.11.14	Bournemouth - Millwall	2:2
03.05.14	Millwall - Bournemouth	1:0
05.10.13	Bournemouth - Millwall	5:2

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