Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Max, Space, Space
Bulgaria	Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 3
Cote-d-ivoire	RTI 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3, Silk Sport 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
Japan	Wowow Cinema
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 3, ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	TVP 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, Virgin Media More
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+


	Monaco		Benfica

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.8
	2.5	3.6	2.78	Watch
	2.52	3.63	2.87
	2.5	3.59	2.8	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.7
	2.66	3.56	2.66
	2.5	3.6	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.33)	3.55 ↓ (3.68)	2.77 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Monaco
38.2%

Draw
27.1%

Benfica
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

26.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

26.4%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	26.3%	52.6%

Monaco - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 16 - 21.6%). Benfica will win (votes: 40 - 54.1%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 24.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 42.7% – 65.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Majecki R. (G) 2. Vanderson 5. Kehrer T. 22. Salisu M. 27. Diatta K. 11. Akliouche M. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 8. Al Musrati 10. Golovin A. 36. Embolo B. 14. Biereth M.	1. Trubin A. (G) 44. Araujo T. 4. Silva A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 3. Carreras A. 8. Aursnes F. 61. Florentino 10. Kokcu O. 21. Schjelderup A. 14. Pavlidis V. 17. Akturkoglu K.
Substitutes
7. Ben Seghir E. 12. Caio Henrique 15. Camara L. 28. Coulibaly M. 37. Diop E. 21. Ilenikhena G. 16. Kohn P. (G) 50. Lienard Y. (G) 88. Magassa S. 41. Michal L. 18. Minamino T. 20. Ouattara K.	7. Amdouni Z. 81. Bajrami A. 18. Barreiro L. 19. Belotti A. 9. Cabral A. 26. Dahl S. 11. Di Maria A. 60. Felix N. 75. Gomes A. (G) 25. Prestianni G. 71. Santos L. 24. Soares S. (G)
Coaches
Hutter A.	Lage B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Carreras A. 🟨,
41', Al Musrati 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Pavlidis V. ⚽,
52', Al Musrati 🟨,
56', Florentino 🟨,
57', Biereth M. ↓, Magassa S. ↑,
67', Florentino ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
67', Araujo T. ↓, Di Maria A. ↑,
68', Golovin A. ↓, Minamino T. ↑,
68', Akliouche M. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
78', Schjelderup A. ↓, Amdouni Z. ↑,
78', Pavlidis V. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
79', Vanderson 🟨,
86', Di Maria A. ↓, Cabral A. ↑,
90+1', Zakaria D. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stuttgart won 1.

In this match Hannover-Burgdorf is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Stuttgart won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 498:581 (average 24.9:29.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Stuttgart won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 253:260 (average 28.1:28.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
07.02.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	4:1 ✺
01.02.25	Monaco - Auxerre	4:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Inter Milan - Monaco	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.01.25	Monaco - Rennes	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.25	Monaco - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
08.02.25	Benfica - Moreirense	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Juventus - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.01.25	Casa Pia - Benfica	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.25	Benfica - Barcelona	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Monaco - Benfica	2:3
04.11.14	Benfica - Monaco	1:0
22.10.14	Monaco - Benfica	0:0

Upcoming Matches