Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Morecambe		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.66
	4.5	3.9	1.68
	4.9	4.2	1.65
	4.6	3.8	1.66
	4.75	4.16	1.71
	4.6	3.75	1.7
	4.95	4.1	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (4.44)	3.99 ↑ (3.71)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
20.1%

Draw
23.7%

Sunderland
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

25.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

26%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	7.1%	64.3%

Morecambe - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Sunderland will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).

Morecambe has the most likely position - 19 (69.06%), has project points - 43, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Sunderland has the most likely position - 5 (38.99%), has project points - 83, has currently - 81, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (92%), has a chance of promoted (23%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 17, small importance 30, small match rating 23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Morecambe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sunderland is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sunderland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English League One
23.04.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Morecambe	2:0 ✺
18.04.22	Morecambe - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
15.04.22	Charlton Athletic - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
09.04.22	Cambridge United - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
05.04.22	Morecambe - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LTWLW
- Sunderland AFC
English League One
26.04.22	Sunderland - Rotherham United	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Sunderland - Cambridge United	5:1 ✺
18.04.22	Plymouth Argyle - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
15.04.22	Sunderland - Shrewsbury Town	3:2 ✺
09.04.22	Oxford United - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
07.12.21	Sunderland - Morecambe	5:0
English EFL Trophy
13.11.18	Morecambe - Sunderland	0:1
English League Cup
28.08.12	Sunderland - Morecambe	2:0

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