Match Info

Date: 15 April 2022, Friday


	Sunderland		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	6
	1.63	3.5	5.75
	1.59	3.7	6.6
	1.63	3.5	5.4
	1.66	3.59	6.47
	1.62	3.6	5.8
	1.67	3.68	6.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.77)	3.58 ↑ (3.45)	6.08 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
57.9%

Draw
26.5%

Shrewsbury Town
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

27.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

28.5%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Sunderland - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 16).

Sunderland has the most likely position - 6 (28.07%), has project points - 81, has currently - 73, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (74%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Shrewsbury has the most likely position - 16 (26.66%), has project points - 55, has currently - 49, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 24, small importance 18, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 0.

Sunderland in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shrewsbury is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sunderland to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League One
09.04.22	Oxford United - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
02.04.22	Sunderland - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Lincoln City - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
12.03.22	Sunderland - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
08.03.22	Sunderland - Fleetwood Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWW
- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
09.04.22	Shrewsbury Town - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Rotherham United - Shrewsbury Town	0:3 ✺
15.03.22	Shrewsbury Town - Morecambe	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
23.11.21	Shrewsbury Town - Sunderland	1:1
09.02.21	Shrewsbury Town - Sunderland	2:1
23.01.21	Sunderland - Shrewsbury Town	1:0
26.10.19	Shrewsbury Town - Sunderland	1:0
29.12.18	Sunderland - Shrewsbury Town	1:1
20.10.18	Shrewsbury Town - Sunderland	0:2
English League Cup
24.08.16	Sunderland - Shrewsbury Town	1:0

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