Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB BEKER - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 6 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Goffertstadion (Nijmegen)

Referee: van Boekel P. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Netherlands	ESPN
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	NEC Nijmegen		ADO Den Haag

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	5	Watch
	1.58	3.9	4.4	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5
	1.61	4.3	5.09
	1.61	4.28	4.96
	1.53	4.2	4.5
	1.62	4.4	4.83	Watch
	1.59	4.2	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.67)	4.21 ↑ (3.7)	4.81 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
58.5%

Draw
22.1%

ADO Den Haag
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.4%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

23.7%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

NEC Nijmegen - ADO Den Haag Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Den Haag will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 3. Sandler P. 17. Nuytinck B. (C) 24. Verdonk C. 71. Proper D. 6. Hoedemakers M. 10. Hansen S. 9. Chery T. 23. Sano K. 18. Ogawa K.	21. Marsman N. (G) 22. Che J. 2. Asante T. 4. Waem M. 5. van Hintum B. 6. Surmeli K. (C) 25. Vlak J. 14. Koudossou H. 10. van der Sande J. 7. van Mieghem D. 9. Veerman H.
Substitutes
21. Arts D. 5. Baas Y. 27. Borges Sanches Y. 1. Cillessen J. (G) 11. Gonzalez R. 31. Janse R. (G) 14. Larsen L. O. 2. Pereira B. 4. Ross M. 19. Sow S.	15. Absalem A. 28. Coremans T. (G) 18. Esajas S. 32. Houwaart M. 17. Ideho J. 8. Moreo Klas D. 23. Nikiema K. (G) 30. Schalk A. 11. Sellouki M. 26. Siereveld G. 19. van Wolfgang J. 13. Vigen L.
Coaches
Meijer R.	Kalezic D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Den Haag could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nijmegen is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nijmegen to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
03.02.24	NEC Nijmegen - Heracles Almelo	3:1 ✺
28.01.24	Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen	2:2 ✺
20.01.24	NEC Nijmegen - Twente	1:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.01.24	NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.01.24	Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.6 WTWWT
- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.02.24	FC Oss - ADO Den Haag	1:3 ✺
26.01.24	ADO Den Haag - Emmen	3:0 ✺
22.01.24	VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
16.01.24	Excelsior Maassluis - ADO Den Haag	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.01.24	ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
11.03.17	ADO Den Haag - NEC Nijmegen	1:0
10.12.16	NEC Nijmegen - ADO Den Haag	3:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.09.16	NEC Nijmegen - ADO Den Haag	1:2 penalties
Dutch Eredivisie
20.03.16	ADO Den Haag - NEC Nijmegen	1:0
03.10.15	NEC Nijmegen - ADO Den Haag	4:1
19.01.14	NEC Nijmegen - ADO Den Haag	3:1
21.09.13	ADO Den Haag - NEC Nijmegen	1:1

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