The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
NEC Nijmegen 54.6%
Draw 23.2%
Fortuna Sittard 22.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
64.1%
19.4%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.1%
20.9%
15.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NEC Nijmegen's form might have worsened.
Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortuna Sittard's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
25%
8.3%
NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 40% – 93.4%.
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 11th and 7th in the Promotion - Eredivisie Conference League - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
Nijmegen is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Fortuna Sittard is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Fortuna Sittard could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Nijmegen carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Nijmegen: Mor E.
(Groin Injury)
Nuytinck B.
(Ankle Injury)
Sandler P.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Marquez I.
(Injury)
Oukili Y.
(Groin Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Nijmegen: Tadic D.
(Injury)
Thomas A.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Fortuna Sittard: Dahlhaus J.
(Inactive).
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Nijmegen has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:23 (averaging 2.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nijmegen against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 25:16 goals (averaging 2.5:1.6 per game).
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