Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 21 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	Nacional Asuncion		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.55
	2.5	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.9	3	2.7
	2.72	3.13	2.8
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.65	3.14	2.68	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.51)	3.1 ↑ (3.04)	2.69 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nacional Asuncion
34.8%

Draw
30.3%

Atlético Nacional
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

30.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

29.8%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva A. (G) 17. Blasi B. 5. Ojeda S. 14. Nunez C. 25. Rivas L. 6. Alfaro J. 7. Orzusa E. 33. Gaona Lugo O. 23. Duarte D. 11. Caballero G. 38. Arevalo R.	30. Rojas S. (G) 20. Castro J. 16. Mosquera S. 2. Bernardo (C) 77. Angulo A. 31. Palacios Alzate B. 14. Mejia R. 4. Sierra C. 19. Mantilla D. 24. Ramirez E. 10. Ceppelini P.
Substitutes
4. Alfaro J. L. 31. Bazan N. 36. Benegas I. 21. Blas Caceres 10. Caballero Fleytas T. I. 26. Duarte E. 2. Gimenez M. 28. Gonzalez A. 16. Gonzalez M. 35. Peralta F. (G) 24. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 8. Velazco F.	15. Alvarez Wallace A. 39. Aristizabal E. 26. Cano A. 1. Castillo H. (G) 9. Duque J. 28. Garcia S. 25. Marquinez L. (G) 18. Ocampo E. 8. Pabon D. 22. Perea O. 17. Salazar A. 29. Torres E.
Coaches
Pumpido J. P.	Bodmer J.

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Nacional Asuncion could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.02.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.02.24	Nacional Asuncion - SD Aucas	3:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.02.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.02.24	SD Aucas - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.02.24	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLL
- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
16.02.24	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	3:2 ✺
11.02.24	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	0:1 ✺
08.02.24	Patriotas - Atlético Nacional	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	0:3 ✺
01.02.24	Atlético Nacional - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTWT

Upcoming Matches