Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda (Quito)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	SD Aucas		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7.5	Watch
	1.49	4.2	6.25
	1.47	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.4	7.4
	1.48	4.26	7.16
	1.4	4	7.5	Watch
	1.42	4.4	7.47	Watch
	1.46	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.78)	4.18 ↑ (3.53)	7.02 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Aucas
64.2%

Draw
22.4%

Nacional Asuncion
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

26.1%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SD Aucas's performance.

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

SD Aucas - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: SD Aucas will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lanzillotta F. (G) 33. Canga L. 22. Cano L. 29. Cuero Q. C. A. 2. Garcia A. 18. Gonzalez J. 25. Jaramillo R. 9. Medina J. 8. Mina A. 16. Rolon C. (C) 32. Sanabria M.	1. Silva A. (G) 6. Alfaro J. L. 9. Bailone I. 21. Blas Caceres 17. Blasi B. 11. Caballero G. 33. Gaona Lugo O. 14. Nunez C. (C) 5. Ojeda S. 7. Orzusa E. 29. Vargas S.
Substitutes
6. Arboleda M. 17. Batalla H. 14. Briones R. 80. Carcelen Carabali M. A. 30. Espinosa D. S. 10. Luna Tobar C. 15. Mina J. 19. Mohor J. 11. Munoz A. 24. Resendez E. (G) 7. Vega E. 37. Zambrano C.	38. Arevalo R. 31. Bazan N. 36. Benegas I. 23. Duarte D. 26. Duarte E. 30. Galarza L. (G) 28. Gonzalez A. 16. Gonzalez M. 13. Meza L. 35. Peralta F. (G) 24. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 8. Velazco F.
Coaches
Escobar Saldarriaga S.	Pumpido J. P.

Preview

1st leg.

Nacional Asuncion could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aucas is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.12.23	Orense - SD Aucas	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	SD Aucas - Delfín	0:0 ✺
11.11.23	SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle	2:0 ✺
03.11.23	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWTW
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.02.24	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:4 ✺
27.01.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	2:2 ✺
23.01.24	Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	2:2 ✺
19.01.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
01.12.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTLT

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