The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional Montevideo 29.9%
Draw 31.9%
Boca Juniors 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
31.6%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
32.2%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Montevideo's form might have worsened.
Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.2%
28.1%
65.6%
Nacional Montevideo - Boca Juniors Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 49.1% – 82.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Ichazo S. (G) 16. Lozano L. 2. Bocanegra D. 23. Polenta D. (C) 6. Baez Corradi G. 5. Rodriguez Y. 15. Rodriguez D. 19. Trezza A. 22. Zabala D. 10. Fagundez F. 11. Ramirez I.
1. Romero S. (G) 57. Weigandt M. 15. Valentini N. 4. Figal J. 18. Fabra F. 17. Advincula L. 8. Fernandez G. (C) 5. Varela A. 49. Campuzano J. 36. Medina C. 16. Miguel Merentiel
Substitutes
13. Almeida C. 28. Castro Irizábal G. 29. Damiani B. 43. De Leon F. 9. Gigliotti E. 4. Helguera T. 7. Martinez F. 14. Montiel M. 24. Monzeglio M. 27. Morales L. 3. Perg M. 25. Suarez I. (G)
19. Barco V. 42. Blondel L. 29. Briasco N. 21. Fernandez I. 13. Garcia J. (G) 23. Gonzalez D. 11. Janson L. 20. Ramirez J. 6. Rojo M. 14. Rolon E. 2. Roncaglia F. 7. Zeballos E.
Coaches
Gutierrez A.
Almiron J.
Preview
1st leg.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 0.
Nacional is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Boca Juniors is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Nacional have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.
Australia
Czech-republic
Netherlands
Portugal
Watch
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Ichazo S. (G) 
Bocanegra D. 
Baez Corradi G. 
Advincula L. 
Briasco N. 
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