Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	Migu
Colombia	ESPN
Costa-rica	Teletica 7, Teletica
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 2, ESPN
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Honduras	Telecadena 7 y 4
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	SKY Go Italia
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Newcastle United		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.60	3.00
	2.20	3.70	3.00
	2.30	3.70	2.90
	2.33	3.74	3.05
	2.28	3.84	3.02	Watch
	2.25	3.70	3.00
	2.26	3.86	3.19	Watch
	2.25	3.65	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.24)	3.72 ↓ (3.83)	3.02 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
42.4%

Draw
25.8%

Aston Villa
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.1%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	15.4%	53.8%

Newcastle United - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 1 - 50%). Aston Villa (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Aston Villa (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aston Villa (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 16th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.

Newcastle has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Aston Villa is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Aston Villa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Newcastle is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:25 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Newcastle against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:9 goals (averaging 2.1:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Newcastle	6	2	2	2	10:13	-3	8
16	Aston Villa	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Aston Villa: 0.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English Premier League
12.10.26	Coventry City - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Newcastle United - Hull City	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Leeds United - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Millwall - Newcastle United	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWT
- Aston Villa
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Aston Villa - Fenerbahçe	6:0 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Aston Villa - Brentford	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Sevilla - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
19.09.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.26	Coventry City - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.02.26	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	1:3
English Premier League
25.01.26	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	0:2
16.08.25	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	0:0
19.04.25	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	4:1
26.12.24	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	3:0
30.01.24	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	1:3
12.08.23	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	5:1

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