The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal 67.6%
Draw 20%
Watford 12.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.2%
20.8%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
78.3%
17.6%
11%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81%
6.6%
12.4%
Arsenal - Watford Predictions
Users Predictions:
Arsenal will win
(98 of 121 users predict this - 80.99%). Confidence interval (95%): 74% โ 87.98%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 16).
Arsenal has the most likely position - 5 (13.3%), has project points - 59, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (19%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Watford has the most likely position - 19 (18.62%), has project points - 35, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (49%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Arsenal is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Watford is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Arsenal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Arsenal is certain favorite.
In this match Arsenal is absolute favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-6.
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