Match Info

Date: 2 January 2021, Saturday


	Northampton Town		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.6
	5.5	3.7	1.62
	5.6	3.75	1.65
	5.2	3.65	1.62
	5.84	3.82	1.67
	5.5	3.6	1.6
	5.7	3.98	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.58 ↑ (5.42)	3.76 ↓ (4.12)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
16.9%

Draw
25.2%

Sunderland
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

23%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

14%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Northampton Town - Sunderland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 11).

Northampton has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sunderland has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a chance of promoted (39%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Northampton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English League One
29.12.20	Northampton Town - Gillingham	3:1 ✺
19.12.20	Northampton Town - Lincoln City	0:4 ✺
15.12.20	Oxford United - Northampton Town	4:0 ✺
12.12.20	Crewe Alexandra - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.12.20	Exeter City - Northampton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLW
- Sunderland AFC
English League One
15.12.20	Sunderland - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Lincoln City - Sunderland	0:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.12.20	Oldham Athletic - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
English League One
05.12.20	Sunderland - Wigan Athletic	0:1 ✺
01.12.20	Sunderland - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWLT

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