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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 13.7%
Draw 17.9%
Plymouth Argyle 68.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
15.3%
19.4%
65.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.8%
18.8%
67.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
0%
90%
Northampton Town - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Users Predictions:
Plymouth Argyle will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burge L. (G) 3. McCarthy C. 6. Willis J. 35. Dyche M. (C) 12. Guinness-Walker N. 8. McGeehan C. 23. Taylor T. 26. McAdam K. 15. Evans J. 10. List E. 17. Jacobs M.
21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 2. Ross M. 15. Mitchell A. 45. Harding W. 28. Curtis R. 19. Boateng M. 35. Dale O. 17. Watts C. 27. Pepple A. 9. Tolaj L.
Substitutes
4. Campbell D. 40. Dobson N. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 7. Hoskins S. 32. Moon-Arnaez M. 11. Swyer K. 27. Vale J.
10. Amaechi X. 13. Baker Z. (G) 23. Ibrahim B. 3. MacKenzie J. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 29. Sorinola M. 4. Wiredu B.
Coaches
Calderwood C.
Cleverley T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, List E. ⚽, Jacobs M. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Jacobs M. ⚽, Guinness-Walker N. (A),
28', 2 - 1, Tolaj L. ⚽, Edwards J. (A),
34', Dale O. 🟨,
40', 2 - 2, Boateng M. ⚽, Tolaj L. (A),
45+1', McCarthy C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Watts C. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,
55', Dale O. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
59', Ross M. 🟨,
62', McCarthy C. 🟨,
63', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
64', List E. 🟨,
66', Boateng M. 🟨,
69', Edwards J. ↓, Pleguezuelo J. ↑,
70', Ross M. ↓, MacKenzie J. ↑,
70', List E. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
74', 2 - 3, Wiredu B. ⚽, Amaechi X. (A),
79', Curtis R. 🟨,
84', Evans J. 🟨,
85', Jacobs M. ↓, Vale J. ↑,
85', Evans J. ↓, Dobson N. ↑,
85', McAdam K. ↓, Campbell D. ↑,
87', Curtis R. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 4.
Northampton is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Plymouth is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Plymouth is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Northampton: Perkins J.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Wormleighton J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B.
(Inactive)
Hazard C.
(Red Card)
Ralls J.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Plymouth: Finn T.
(Hamstring Injury)
MacKenzie J.
(Inactive)
We predict that Plymouth will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
United Kingdom
Watch
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Burge L. (G) 
McCarthy C. 
McGeehan C. 
Taylor T. 
Ross M. 
Harding W. 
Watts C. 
Pepple A. 
Tolaj L. 
Campbell D. 
Pleguezuelo J. 
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