The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Norwich City 27.6%
Draw 29%
Newcastle United 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
28.2%
46%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
28.3%
45.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Norwich City - Newcastle United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 11).
Norwich has the most likely position - 20 (65.82%), has project points - 26, has currently - 21, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Newcastle has the most likely position - 14 (23.86%), has project points - 45, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality61, very small importance1, match rating31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Norwich won 1.
Norwich is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Newcastle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Norwich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Newcastle will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Norwich won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Norwich won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.
Watch
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