Match Info

Date: 9 December 2020, Wednesday


	Norwich City		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.75	4.75
	1.7	3.75	5
	1.78	3.7	4.8
	1.74	3.65	4.5
	1.79	3.73	4.91
	1.75	3.6	4.75
	1.8	3.88	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.73)	3.72 ↓ (3.79)	4.74 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwich City
54.3%

Draw
25.6%

Nottingham Forest
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

25.2%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

20.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norwich City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.8%	8.5%	11.7%

Norwich City - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: Norwich City will win (75 of 94 users predict this - 79.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.67% – 87.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Premier League and 21).

Norwich has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a chance of promoted (38%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Nottingham has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Norwich is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nottingham has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Norwich is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Norwich won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Norwich won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwich City
English League Championship
05.12.20	Norwich City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 ✺
02.12.20	Luton Town - Norwich City	3:1 ✺
28.11.20	Norwich City - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
24.11.20	Stoke City - Norwich City	2:3 ✺
21.11.20	Middlesbrough - Norwich City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTWW
- Nottingham Forest
English League Championship
05.12.20	Reading - Nottingham Forest	2:0 ✺
02.12.20	Nottingham Forest - Watford	0:0 ✺
29.11.20	Nottingham Forest - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
24.11.20	Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest	2:0 ✺
21.11.20	Barnsley - Nottingham Forest	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.12.18	Norwich City - Nottingham Forest	3:3
20.10.18	Nottingham Forest - Norwich City	1:2
06.03.18	Norwich City - Nottingham Forest	0:0
21.11.17	Nottingham Forest - Norwich City	1:0
11.02.17	Norwich City - Nottingham Forest	5:1
17.09.16	Nottingham Forest - Norwich City	1:2
21.03.15	Norwich City - Nottingham Forest	3:1

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