Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nottingham Forest		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.90	1.60
	5.50	3.90	1.62
	6.00	3.95	1.58
	5.96	4.05	1.64
	5.4	4.21	1.64	Watch
	5.90	3.90	1.61
	5.89	4.01	1.68	Watch
	5.60	4.00	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.75 ↓ (5.8)	3.99 ↓ (4.13)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
16.7%

Draw
24.1%

Arsenal
59.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.5%

23.2%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

22.6%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	4.8%	95.2%

Nottingham Forest - Arsenal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Arsenal (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (40 of 42 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.8% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 17th and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 0.

Nottingham has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Arsenal shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Arsenal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Arsenal carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Nottingham: Igor Jesus (Calf Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Arsenal: Hincapie P. (Ankle Injury) Saliba W. (Back Injury) Tzolis C. (Hamstring Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Nottingham: Gibbs-White M. (Injury) Milenkovic N. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Arsenal: Zubimendi M. (Knock).

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Nottingham has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:26 (averaging 0.7:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nottingham against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 1:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal	6	5	0	1	10:5	5	15
17	Nottingham	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Arsenal: 56.1% Nottingham: 0.28%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
11.10.26	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Nottingham Forest - Coventry City	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLWTT
- Arsenal FC
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Arsenal - Lille	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Arsenal - Leeds United	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.26	Ipswich Town - Arsenal	2:4 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Sunderland - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
17.01.26	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:0
13.09.25	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	3:0
26.02.25	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:0
23.11.24	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	3:0
30.01.24	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	1:2
12.08.23	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	2:1
20.05.23	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	1:0

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