The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nottingham Forest 41.6%
Draw 31%
Sheffield Wednesday 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
30.3%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.7%
22.1%
20.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Sheffield Wednesday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheffield Wednesday, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 8 - 20.5%). Sheff Wed will win (votes: 10 - 25.6%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 53.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.2% – 69.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 and 24 in the zone Relegation).
Nottingham has a chance of relegated (36%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sheff Wed has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Nottingham has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Sheff Wed is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Nottingham will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13-28.
Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-18.