Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 22

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: City Ground (Nottingham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Showmax, Supersport Action, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	01:00	Optus Sport
Austria	15:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	16:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:00	fubo Sports Network 3 DRM
China	22:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	15:00	CANAL+ Sport 4
Denmark	15:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	15:00	Canal+ Live 2
Germany	15:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, WOW
Greece	16:00	Nova Sports 4
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
India	19:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	Sport 2
Italy	15:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, SKY NET Sports 2, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	08:00	HBO Max, MAX
Mongolia	22:00	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:00	Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport NOW
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Poland	15:00	Viaplay
Portugal	14:00	DAZN 3
Romania	16:00	Prima Sport PPV 2
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 3, StarHub TV+
South Africa	16:00	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South Korea	23:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	15:00	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Thailand	21:00	True Premier Football 4
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
United Kingdom	14:00	BBC Radio 5 Live
Usa	09:00	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC
Vietnam	21:00	ON Plus
International	14:00	Daystar Pacific, Disney+, JioTV app


	Nottingham Forest		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	7
	1.4	5	7.5
	1.43	5	7.6	Watch
	1.47	4.48	8.04	Watch
	1.4	4.8	7.5
	1.43	5.09	7.75	Watch
	1.42	5.1	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	4.89 ↑ (4.69)	7.6 ↑ (7.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
67.6%

Draw
19.7%

Southampton
12.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.7%

20.5%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

18.9%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.7%	8.7%	7.5%

Nottingham Forest - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: Nottingham Forest will win (67 of 80 users predict this - 83.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 91.83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 7. Williams N. 16. Dominguez N. 8. Anderson E. 21. Elanga A. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 14. Hudson-Odoi C. 11. Wood Ch.	30. Ramsdale A. (G) 14. Bree J. 35. Bednarek J. (C) 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 16. Sugawara Y. 4. Downes F. 7. Aribo J. 2. Walker-Peters K. 18. Fernandes M. 19. Archer C. 9. Armstrong A.
Substitutes
9. Awoniyi T. 30. Boly W. 33. Carlos Miguel (G) 20. Jota Silva 4. Morato 19. Moreno A. 24. Sosa R. 18. Ward-Prowse J. 22. Yates R.	37. Bella-Kotchap A. 24. Fraser R. 3. Manning R. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 32. Onuachu P. 8. Smallbone W. 20. Sulemana K. 26. Ugochukwu L. 15. Wood N.
Coaches
Espirito Santo N.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Anderson E. ⚽, Gibbs-White M. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Hudson-Odoi C. ⚽, Wood Ch. (A),
33', Downes F. 🟨,
38', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
41', 3 - 0, Wood Ch. ⚽, Aina O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Downes F. ↓, Ugochukwu L. ↑,
57', Walker-Peters K. 🟨,
58', Archer C. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
58', Armstrong A. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
58', Sugawara Y. ↓, Manning R. ↑,
60', 3 - 1, Bednarek J. ⚽, Ugochukwu L. (A),
74', Elanga A. ↓, Morato ↑,
83', Dominguez N. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
83', Wood Ch. ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
83', Gibbs-White M. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
86', Bree J. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 2, Onuachu P. ⚽, Fernandes M. (A),
90+5', Aribo J. 🟨,
90+11', Ugochukwu L. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Nottingham in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

S`hampton is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nottingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nottingham is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Nottingham: Sangare I. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Stephens J. (Knock) Stewart R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Dibling T. (Ankle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Nottingham to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
14.01.25	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Nottingham Forest - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
06.01.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
29.12.24	Everton - Nottingham Forest	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWWWW
- Southampton FC
English Premier League
16.01.25	Manchester United - Southampton	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Southampton - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Southampton - Brentford	0:5 ✺
29.12.24	Crystal Palace - Southampton	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Southampton - West Ham United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
24.08.24	Southampton - Nottingham Forest	0:1
08.05.23	Nottingham Forest - Southampton	4:3
04.01.23	Southampton - Nottingham Forest	0:1

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