The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notts County 34.3%
Draw 25.5%
Northampton Town 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
25.1%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
24.8%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Notts County - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 35.9% โ 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Slocombe S. (G) 45. Adiefeh D. 14. Brown J. 24. Cundy R. 46. Gill C. 6. Hinchy J. 19. Martin J. 3. McDonald R. 12. Ness L. 40. Reynolds R. 25. Tsaroulla N.
13. Tzanev N. (G) 30. Chouchane S. 24. Fosu T. 8. Fox B. 12. Guinness-Walker N. 23. Hondermarck W. 2. Magloire T. 22. Odimayo A. 10. Pinnock M. (C) 25. Tomlinson J. 11. Wilson J.
Substitutes
47. Cisse C. 44. Cisse M. 41. Cooney K. 42. Denman Z. 49. Muir K. 48. Nyirenda T. 43. Sanderson J.
36. Dadge J. (G) 40. Dobson N. 42. Evans W. 37. Ireland M. 38. Licorish-Mullings K. 17. McCarron L. 41. Wyatt R.
Coaches
Maynard S.
Brady J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Fox B. ⚽, Wilson J. (A),
36', Guinness-Walker N. 🟨,
45+1', Hondermarck W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fosu T. ↓, McCarron L. ↑,
46', Odimayo A. ↓, Licorish K. ↑,
46', Ness L. ↓, Nyirenda T. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, McCarron L. ⚽, Hondermarck W. (A),
60', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Ireland M. ↑,
62', Gill C. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
77', Reynolds R. 🟨,
79', Magloire T. ↓, Wyatt R. ↑,
83', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Cisse C. ↑,
83', Wilson J. ↓, Dobson N. ↑,
88', Reynolds R. ↓, Sanderson J. ↑,
88', Brown J. ↓, Muir K. ↑,
Preview
Recent matches Notts County is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Northampton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Northampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1.2:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
United-kingdom
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Slocombe S. (G) 
Brown J. 
Tsaroulla N. 
Tzanev N. (G) 
Chouchane S. 
Fosu T. 
Hondermarck W. 
Cisse C. 
Cooney K. 
McCarron L. 
Brady J. 
