Match Info

Date: 14 August 2018, Tuesday


	Oldham Athletic		Derby County

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.33	1.61
	5.25	3.9	1.6
	5.25	4.15	1.6
	5.37	4.09	1.54
	5.74	4.48	1.56
	5.5	4.2	1.55
	5.85	4.5	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↑ (4.61)	4.24	1.58 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
17.2%

Draw
22.5%

Derby County
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oldham Athletic's form might have worsened.

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derby County's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.4%	0%	96.6%

Oldham Athletic - Derby County Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). Derby will win (votes: 28 - 96.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 90% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English League Two
11.08.18	Forest Green Rovers - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
04.08.18	Oldham Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.18	Oldham Athletic - Preston North End	0:3 ✺
17.07.18	United of Manchester - Oldham Athletic	0:2 ✺
14.07.18	Curzon Ashton - Oldham Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLLWW
- Derby County
English League Championship
11.08.18	Derby County - Leeds United	1:4 ✺
03.08.18	Reading - Derby County	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.18	Derby County - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
25.07.18	Coventry City - Derby County	0:1 ✺
21.07.18	Derby County - Southampton	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
06.08.13	Oldham Athletic - Derby County	0:1

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