What is the expert prediction for Olympique Marseille vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Olympique Marseille vs Shakhtar Donetsk. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Olympique Marseille vs Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, February 22, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	VOOsport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Olympique Marseille		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	6
	1.58	4.1	5.5
	1.58	4.3	6	Watch
	1.58	4.3	5.8
	1.58	4.31	5.78
	1.5	4.2	5.8
	1.61	4.37	6.01
	1.6	4.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.78)	4.27 ↑ (3.9)	5.84 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
61.1%

Draw
22.5%

Shakhtar Donetsk
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympique Marseille's performance.

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	8.7%	13%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 54 - 78.3%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 9 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 68.6% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lopez P. (G) 99. Mbemba Ch. 18. Meite A. 4. Gigot S. (C) 3. Merlin Q. 7. Clauss J. 19. Kondogbia G. 8. Ounahi A. 11. Harit A. 14. Moumbagna F. 10. Aubameyang P.	31. Riznyk D. (G) 26. Konoplya Y. 44. Rakitskyi Y. 22. Matviienko M. 16. Azarovi I. 6. Stepanenko T. (C) 11. Zubkov O. 21. Bondarenko A. 10. Sudakov G. 7. Eguinaldo 14. Sikan D.
Substitutes
36. Blanco R. (G) 20. Correa J. 44. Luis Henrique 29. Ndiaye I. 1. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 23. Sarr I. 37. Soglo E. 27. Veretout J.	13. Gocholeishvili G. 18. Kelsy K. 37. Kevin 8. Kryskiv D. 25. Miroshi N. 29. Nazaryna Y. 39. Newerton 23. Pedrinho 1. Rudko A. (G) 9. Shved M. 2. Traore L. 77. Tsukanov V.
Coaches
Gasset J.	Pusic M.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Marseille is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marseille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marseille is a favorite.

There will not play in Marseille: Balerdi L. (Yellow Cards) Nadir B. (Knee Injury) Rongier V. (Knee Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury)

There will not play in Shakhtar: Bondar V. (Yellow Cards) Marlon Gomes (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Marseille: Lopez P. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Shakhtar: Chygrynskiy D. (Injury) Petryak I. (Ankle Injury) Puzankov T. (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marseille won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
18.02.24	Brest - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Olympique Marseille	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
09.02.24	Olympique Marseille - Metz	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Lyon - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Olympique Marseille - Monaco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTLT
- Shakhtar Donetsk
UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Olympique Marseille	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Hradec Králové	0:2 ✺
25.01.24	Lech Poznań - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:3 ✺
18.12.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Avispa Fukuoka	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Olympique Marseille	2:2

Olympique Marseille - Shakhtar Donetsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide