What is the expert prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Olympique Marseille?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Olympique Marseille. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Shakhtar Donetsk vs Olympique Marseille Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, February 15, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.3
	3.1	3.3	2.3
	3.1	3.4	2.35	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.35
	3.25	3.37	2.33
	3.1	3.5	2.15
	3.27	3.54	2.34
	3.25	3.4	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (3.05)	3.41 ↓ (3.48)	2.3 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
30.3%

Draw
28.1%

Olympique Marseille
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.3%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	6.5%	80.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (37 of 46 users predict this - 80.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.96% – 91.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Riznyk D. (G) 26. Konoplya Y. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matviienko M. 16. Azarovi I. 6. Stepanenko T. (C) 11. Zubkov O. 21. Bondarenko A. 10. Sudakov G. 7. Eguinaldo 14. Sikan D.	16. Lopez P. (G) 44. Luis Henrique 7. Clauss J. 4. Gigot S. (C) 5. Balerdi L. 3. Merlin Q. 11. Harit A. 19. Kondogbia G. 8. Ounahi A. 14. Moumbagna F. 10. Aubameyang P.
Substitutes
13. Gocholeishvili G. 18. Kelsy K. 37. Kevin 8. Kryskiv D. 29. Nazaryna Y. 39. Newerton 23. Pedrinho 44. Rakitskyi Y. 1. Rudko A. (G) 9. Shved M. 2. Traore L. 77. Tsukanov V.	36. Blanco R. (G) 20. Correa J. 99. Mbemba Ch. 18. Meite A. 29. Ndiaye I. 1. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 37. Soglo E. 39. Tunkadi A.
Coaches
Pusic M.	Gattuso G.

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Volksparkstadion.

Marseille is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marseille will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Shakhtar: Marlon Gomes (Calf Injury) Traore L. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Marseille: Nadir B. (Knee Injury) Rongier V. (Knee Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury) Sarr I. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Shakhtar: Chygrynskiy D. (Injury) Petryak I. (Ankle Injury) Puzankov T. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Club Friendly
08.02.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Hradec Králové	0:2 ✺
25.01.24	Lech Poznań - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:3 ✺
18.12.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Avispa Fukuoka	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.12.23	Porto - Shakhtar Donetsk	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWTL
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
09.02.24	Olympique Marseille - Metz	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Lyon - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Olympique Marseille - Monaco	2:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.01.24	Rennes - Olympique Marseille	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
12.01.24	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTLT

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