Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 7

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6


	Pau		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.10	2.80	Watch
	2.40	3.30	2.80
	2.28	3.40	2.95	Watch
	2.53	3.44	2.91
	2.36	3.42	2.88	Watch
	2.45	3.35	2.85
	2.37	3.26	2.94	Watch
	2.37	3.30	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.42)	3.32 ↑ (3.31)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
39.3%

Draw
28.1%

Dunkerque
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

27.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Pau - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maubleu B. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 29. Paquiez G. 23. Briancon A. (C) 88. Bamba A. 97. Abdallah A. 6. Fall C. 21. Benet J. 18. Sebas J. 9. Leye B. 19. Saettel T.	73. Moha (G) 27. Linguet A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 22. Mayela V. 24. Vallier L. 6. Morel J. 18. Massock T. 7. Ayari K. 19. Keita S. 11. Prutsev E. 9. Robail G.
Substitutes
8. Basse S. 10. Brahimi B. 4. Dodote A. 27. Gadegbeku L. 11. Lefebvre A. 56. Mbaye A. 5. Rajot L. 30. Salles E. (G) 39. Tourraine M.	30. Abner F. 25. Atoen F. 17. Dieng P. M. 21. Dziki Loussilaho L. 4. Lagae B. 94. Mayilla E. 33. Nemorin N. 16. Prevot M. (G) 2. Toure O.
Coaches
Debes T.	Sanchez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Mayela V. 🟥,
16', Briancon A. 🟨,
17', Robail G. ↓, Lagae B. ↑,
32', Abdallah A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Benet J. (Penalty Awarded),
52', Lagae B. 🟨,
58', Bamba A. ↓, Dodote A. ↑,
63', Sanchez A. 🟨,
66', Sebas J. ↓, Mbaye A. ↑,
67', Abdallah A. ↓, Basse S. ↑,
67', Morel J. ↓, Toure O. ↑,
68', Prutsev E. ↓, Mayilla E. ↑,
77', Keita S. ↓, Dieng P. M. ↑,
77', Massock T. ↓, Atoen F. ↑,
81', Mayilla E. 🟨,
83', Saettel T. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Mbaye A. ⚽, Rajot L. (A),

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 0.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Pau is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Pau: Bamba A. (Inactive) Daubin Q. (Inactive) Gasnier K. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Dunkerque: Abner F. (Knee Injury) Daho A. (Injury) Nade A. (Inactive).

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Pau has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:26 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pau against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Pau FC	9	4	2	3	11:9	2	14
10	Dunkerque	9	3	2	4	13:15	-2	11

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Dunkerque: 0.83%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
11.09.26	Montpellier - Pau	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Pau - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Rodez - Pau	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Pau - Nancy	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Dijon - Pau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTTLW
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
12.09.26	Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Dunkerque - Clermont	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Nancy - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Dunkerque - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Reims - Dunkerque	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.01.26	Dunkerque - Pau	3:1
24.10.25	Pau - Dunkerque	0:3
10.01.25	Pau - Dunkerque	1:1
20.09.24	Dunkerque - Pau	3:2
09.03.24	Dunkerque - Pau	1:0
02.12.23	Pau - Dunkerque	1:1
12.03.22	Dunkerque - Pau	1:0

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